This CDF calculator computes the cumulative probability P(X≤x) for a given normal distribution and also offers features including inverse CDF calculations, and solving for the mean (μ) and standard deviation (σ). It can also create a plot of P(X≤x) as a function of any of the paramaters.
An investment has returns that are normally distributed with an average return of 5% and a standard deviation of 2%. An investor wants to understand the probability of the return being 4% or less.
Value | Keystrokes | Display | Description |
---|---|---|---|
4 | x | 4.00 | Stores the x value. |
5 | μ | 5.00 | Stores the μ (mean) value. |
2 | σ | 2.00 | Stores the σ (standard deviation) value. |
P(X≤x) | 0.309 | Calculates the cumulative distribution function. |
Normal Distribution CDF 4.00 : The x value. 5.00 : The mean of the distribution. 2.00 : The standard deviation of the distribution. 0.309 : The normal cumulative distribution function P(X≤x). Result: 0.309
To assess risk, the investor seeks the worst expected return in the bottom 5% of cases.
These keystrokes assume the values from example 1.
Value | Keystrokes | Display | Description |
---|---|---|---|
.05 | P(X≤x) | 0.05 | Stores the cdf value. |
x | 1.71 | Solves for the x value. |
Normal Distribution CDF Solving for x, x value, with initial value (guess) of 4.00 1.71 : The x value. 5.00 : The mean of the distribution. 2.00 : The standard deviation of the distribution. 0.0500 : The normal cumulative distribution function P(X≤x). Result: 1.71
Besides CDF and inverse this calculator can also solve for mean or standard deviation.
With the goal of ensuring that the portfolio's annual return only falls below 4% 20% of the time, and knowing the average return is aimed to be 6%, determine the maximum allowable volatility (standard deviation) of the portfolio.
Value | Keystrokes | Display | Description |
---|---|---|---|
.2 | P(X≤x) | 0.200 | Stores the cdf value. |
4 | x | 4.00 | Stores the x value. |
6 | μ | 6.00 | Stores the μ (mean) value. |
σ | 2.38 | Solves for the σ (standard deviation) value. |
Normal Distribution CDF Solving for σ, standard deviation of the distribution, with initial value (guess) of 2.00 4.00 : The x value. 6.00 : The mean of the distribution. 2.38 : The standard deviation of the distribution. 0.200 : The normal cumulative distribution function P(X≤x). Result: 2.38
Reference:
Normal distribution - Wikipedia